Mithrandir Metrics
MIL 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Christian Yelich

MIL · Hitter · bats L · age 35
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIL vs PHIAaron Nola
Sample6259.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 24.4
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 21.8% Market 16.4% Gap +4.7pp
FanDuel 485 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 64.5
F 83.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 82.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 64.5% Market 78.4% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 155 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 28.1
F 30.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 28.1% Market -- Gap +4.1pp
FanDuel 310 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
31 -24 vs proj
Exit velocity87.8
42
Hard-hit%36.3%
34 -42 vs proj
xBA0.335
63
xSLG0.542
59
xwOBA0.294
35 -38 vs proj
BB%8.7%
49 -19 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
64
K%28.8%
18 -34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
60 Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · DH
24
Sprint Speed27.1 · DH
43
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.300 to 0.380
RegressionNegative · -0.082
Opposing pitcherAaron Nola
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)