Mithrandir Metrics
TB 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Chandler Simpson

TB · Hitter
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTB vs LAAJosé Soriano
Sample653.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 3.7
F 0.0
V 0.0
Model 2.6% Market 8.0% Gap -5.4pp
BetMGM 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 24.6
F 22.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.6% Market 26.3% Gap +2.5pp
DraftKings 290 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.0%
1
Exit velocity81.6
4
Hard-hit%15.4%
1
xBA0.279
15
xSLG0.321
2
xwOBA0.253
7 -46 vs proj
BB%4.8%
11 -17 vs proj
Bat speed61.8
1
K%11.0%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.5 · LF
14
Arm Strength96.1 · LF
80
Outs Above Avg6.0 · LF
98
Range Runs5.3 · LF
95
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.5 · LF
98
Bolts51.0 · LF
99
SB Success Rate75.0% · LF
35
Sprint Speed29.6 · LF
97
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.3%
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4%
15
Correct Decisions64.4%
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.077
Opposing pitcherJosé Soriano
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-18
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)