Mithrandir Metrics
NYM 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Bo Bichette

NYM · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 2 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupNYM vs ATLMartín Pérez
Sample3351.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.6
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 21.1% Market 12.2% Gap +8.5pp
DraftKings 695 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.7
F 81.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 85.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.7% Market 81.0% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 35.1
F 32.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 35.1% Market -- Gap +1.9pp
FanDuel 190 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
54
Exit velocity91.5
88
Hard-hit%48.1%
85
xBA0.341
67
xSLG0.522
53
xwOBA0.326
64
BB%7.3%
34
Bat speed68.1
29
K%16.9%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
57
Arm Strength88.6 · SS
71
Outs Above Avg2.0 · SS
80
Range Runs-0.1 · SS
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · 3B
13
Sprint Speed25.8 · 3B
16
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5%
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4%
58
Correct Decisions63.4%
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.309
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.312 to 0.384
RegressionPositive · 0.010
Opposing pitcherMartín Pérez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)