Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Keibert Ruiz

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupWSH vs SEALuis Castillo
Sample1865.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 17.8% Market 9.8% Gap +7.6pp
DraftKings 880 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 24.1
F 24.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 23.7 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 24.1% Market 26.1% Gap +2.2pp
DraftKings 295 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
41 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity88.9
56
Hard-hit%39.4%
49 +34 vs proj
xBA0.256
5
xSLG0.413
19
xwOBA0.262
13 -23 vs proj
BB%3.1%
4
Bat speed65.6
10
K%11.9%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
72
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
58
Framing Runs2.6 · C
85
Pop Time2.0 · C
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · C
9
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.4%
Small sample
Correct Decisions62.7%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.367 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.279 to 0.352
RegressionNegative · -0.093
Opposing pitcherLuis Castillo
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)