Mithrandir Metrics
BOS 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Masataka Yoshida

BOS · Hitter · bats L · age 33
IN · 7 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupBOS vs TEXJacob deGrom
Sample1233.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 54.9
F 73.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 73.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 54.9% Market 72.5% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 17.9
F 16.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 17.9% Market -- Gap +11.5pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.2%
6 -36 vs proj
Exit velocity88.5
51
Hard-hit%39.8%
51
xBA0.284
18
xSLG0.395
13
xwOBA0.310
50
BB%9.5%
60 +41 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
47
K%11.9%
95
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-1.2 · LF
13 Regression applied
Range Runs-2.4 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · DH
24
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions63.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.306
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.273 to 0.364
RegressionNegative · -0.030
Opposing pitcherJacob deGrom
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)