Mithrandir Metrics
SEA 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Cal Raleigh

SEA · Hitter · bats L · age 30
IN · 3 Positive regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupSEA vs WSHCade Cavalli
Sample--career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 21.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 21.6% Market 26.3% Gap -4.8pp
BetMGM 280 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 65.0
F 64.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V 63.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 65.0% Market 63.2% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel -195 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
79
Exit velocity87.8
42
Hard-hit%33.0%
24 -62 vs proj
xBA0.279
14
xSLG0.599
73
xwOBA0.289
30 -52 vs proj
BB%9.1%
56 -26 vs proj
Bat speed72.3
81
K%32.0%
6 -20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.9 · C
97
Catcher Throwing0.3 · C
66
Framing Runs0.3 · C
55
Pop Time2.0 · C
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · C
16
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.8%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions65.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.297 to 0.394
RegressionPositive · 0.010
Opposing pitcherCade Cavalli
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)