Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Spencer Torkelson

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLEJoey Cantillo
Sample2101.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 20.4% Market 16.7% Gap +3.1pp
FanDuel 475 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.9
F 69.6 EXPERIMENTAL
V 73.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 59.9% Market 69.6% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 145 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.1
F 13.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 16.1% Market -- Gap +4.7pp
FanDuel 380 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.4%
86
Exit velocity90.1
71
Hard-hit%45.1%
72
xBA0.337
63
xSLG0.639
83
xwOBA0.313
53
BB%10.5%
71
Bat speed71.5
76
K%30.5%
12 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · 1B
7
Range Runs-4.0 · 1B
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · 1B
17
Sprint Speed26.3 · 1B
24
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.5%
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1%
70
Correct Decisions72.0%
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.304 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.303 to 0.373
RegressionNegative · -0.029
Opposing pitcherJoey Cantillo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)