Mithrandir Metrics
TEX 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Josh Jung

TEX · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupTEX vs BOSRanger Suarez
Sample1483.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 17.1% Market 12.6% Gap +4.0pp
DraftKings 665 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 54.9
F 72.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 54.9% Market 70.4% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 22.4
F 22.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 22.4% Market -- Gap +8.8pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
40 -27 vs proj
Exit velocity89.7
67
Hard-hit%44.9%
71
xBA0.365
84
xSLG0.544
59
xwOBA0.352
80 +30 vs proj
BB%6.8%
28
Bat speed69.3
45
K%15.4%
85 +43 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength86.6 · 3B
56
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 3B
18
Range Runs-1.0 · 3B
34
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · 3B
13
Sprint Speed26.0 · 3B
19
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9%
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5%
45
Correct Decisions65.6%
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.305
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.350 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.382
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.323
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.270 to 0.350
RegressionNegative · -0.039
Opposing pitcherRanger Suarez
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)