Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Mookie Betts

LAD · Hitter · bats R · age 34
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs CWSSean Burke
Sample6221.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 22.0% Market 15.4% Gap +6.0pp
FanDuel 525 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 66.1
F 82.2 EXPERIMENTAL
V 81.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.1% Market 78.1% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel -120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 27.1
F 28.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 27.1% Market -- Gap +9.3pp
FanDuel 175 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
77 +23 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
75
Hard-hit%35.6%
31 -18 vs proj
xBA0.302
27
xSLG0.492
43
xwOBA0.330
67
BB%11.2%
76
Bat speed67.4
24
K%10.6%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
87
Arm Strength83.6 · SS
31
Outs Above Avg2.0 · SS
80
Range Runs2.7 · SS
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · SS
24
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.9%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.1%
Small sample
Correct Decisions69.4%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.332
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.299 to 0.403
RegressionNegative · -0.012
Opposing pitcherSean Burke
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)