Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Byron Buxton

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 33
IN · 2 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore
Sample3343.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 19.0% Market 22.0% Gap -3.0pp
BetMGM 355 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 68.5
F 77.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 68.5% Market 74.3% Gap +2.6pp
FanDuel -135 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 25.4
F 26.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 25.4% Market -- Gap +7.9pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%12.5%
99
Exit velocity90.5
79
Hard-hit%47.4%
83
xBA0.332
59
xSLG0.688
91
xwOBA0.338
73
BB%7.7%
38
Bat speed72.4
83
K%26.2%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · CF
20
Arm Strength95.9 · CF
77
Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF
94
Range Runs2.7 · CF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · CF
84
Bolts22.0 · CF
88
Sprint Speed29.8 · CF
98
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8%
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.2%
82
Correct Decisions66.4%
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.377 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.379
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.299 to 0.365
RegressionNegative · -0.053
Opposing pitcherMatthew Liberatore
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)