Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Freddie Freeman

LAD · Hitter · bats L · age 37
IN · 3 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs CWSSean Burke
Sample8367.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 24.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 24.2% Market 16.2% Gap +7.3pp
FanDuel 495 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 74.4
F 85.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 85.1 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 74.4% Market 82.8% Gap +3.9pp
FanDuel 110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 38.2
F 37.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 38.2% Market -- Gap +7.9pp
FanDuel 230 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
83
Exit velocity91.1
85
Hard-hit%46.6%
80 +18 vs proj
xBA0.350
75
xSLG0.616
79
xwOBA0.381
95
BB%11.9%
82 +21 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
38
K%16.1%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
80
Range Runs1.8 · 1B
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 1B
48
Sprint Speed25.1 · 1B
6
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2%
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.2%
90
Correct Decisions71.9%
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.384 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.369
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.318 to 0.413
RegressionNegative · -0.018
Opposing pitcherSean Burke
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)