Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Colson Montgomery

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCWS vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto
Sample495.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.2
F 13.4
V 13.4
Model 19.2% Market 23.3% Gap -4.1pp
BetMGM 330 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.6
F 65.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.6% Market 65.6% Gap +2.0pp
FanDuel 155 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 12.7
F 10.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 12.7% Market -- Gap +9.8pp
FanDuel 390 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
78
Exit velocity89.8
68
Hard-hit%45.4%
74
xBA0.332
58
xSLG0.675
89
xwOBA0.326
63
BB%9.2%
57
Bat speed74.3
96
K%31.6%
8
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.5 · SS
21
Outs Above Avg3.0 · SS
88
Range Runs8.0 · SS
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.9 · SS
4
Sprint Speed26.4 · SS
26
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.5%
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9%
72
Correct Decisions66.6%
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.311 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.319
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.363 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.363
RegressionNegative · -0.036
Opposing pitcherYoshinobu Yamamoto
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)