Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Maikel Garcia

KC · Hitter · bats R · age 26
IN · 4 Positive regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupKC vs HOUMike Burrows
Sample1902.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 46.0
F 70.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 68.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 46.0% Market 65.6% Gap +1.9pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.4
F 18.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 16.4% Market -- Gap +16.9pp
FanDuel 200 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
27 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity89.8
67
Hard-hit%42.6%
63
xBA0.336
63
xSLG0.463
32
xwOBA0.327
64
BB%9.1%
55
Bat speed70.4
62
K%15.2%
86
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
44
Arm Strength89.3 · 3B
77
Outs Above Avg6.0 · 3B
97
Range Runs3.6 · 3B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · 3B
43
SB Success Rate57.1% · 3B
6
Sprint Speed27.7 · 3B
61
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.5%
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.7%
9
Correct Decisions66.6%
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.320 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.318
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.311 to 0.374
RegressionPositive · 0.002
Opposing pitcherMike Burrows
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)