Mithrandir Metrics
NYY 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Paul Goldschmidt

NYY · Hitter · bats R · age 39
IN · 4 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYY vs TORKevin Gausman
Sample7755.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 30.1
F 51.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 55.2 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 30.1% Market 52.2% Gap +2.2pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 16.2
F 14.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 16.2% Market -- Gap +12.3pp
FanDuel 250 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
82 +27 vs proj
Exit velocity87.9
45
Hard-hit%43.4%
67
xBA0.361
82
xSLG0.641
84
xwOBA0.378
93 +26 vs proj
BB%9.1%
55 +15 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
54
K%19.3%
66
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
80
Range Runs1.4 · 1B
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 1B
49
Sprint Speed24.8 · 1B
4
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.3%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.413
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.325
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.284 to 0.376
RegressionNegative · -0.028
Opposing pitcherKevin Gausman
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)