Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Max Muncy

LAD · Hitter · bats L · age 36
IN · 5 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs CWSSean Burke
Sample3503.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
Model 20.2% Market 18.3% Gap +1.1pp
FanDuel 425 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 37.5
F 56.7 EXPERIMENTAL
V 60.3 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 37.5% Market 57.5% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 16.4
F 14.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 16.4% Market -- Gap +3.2pp
FanDuel 410 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.9%
96 +28 vs proj
Exit velocity90.7
81
Hard-hit%49.1%
89 +19 vs proj
xBA0.384
93
xSLG0.764
97
xwOBA0.394
97 +20 vs proj
BB%12.5%
85
Bat speed70.0
57
K%24.6%
35
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.9 · 3B
39
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 3B
94
Range Runs3.7 · 3B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · 3B
43
Sprint Speed27.1 · 3B
43
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.0%
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1%
31
Correct Decisions67.1%
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.316
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.387
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.291 to 0.397
RegressionNegative · -0.021
Opposing pitcherSean Burke
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)