Mithrandir Metrics
HOU 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Isaac Paredes

HOU · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupHOU vs KCNoah Cameron
Sample2147.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 16.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
Model 19.0% Market 15.9% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 505 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.5
F 73.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 72.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 59.5% Market 70.9% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 19.4
F 19.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 19.4% Market -- Gap +8.4pp
FanDuel 260 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
45 +17 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
38
Hard-hit%31.9%
20
xBA0.301
27
xSLG0.469
35
xwOBA0.321
60
BB%9.9%
65
Bat speed66.0
12
K%17.5%
77
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
35
Arm Strength80.8 · 3B
12
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
45
Range Runs-2.2 · 3B
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 3B
19
Sprint Speed25.0 · 3B
5
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9%
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9%
54
Correct Decisions67.2%
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.363 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.283 to 0.366
RegressionNegative · -0.020
Opposing pitcherNoah Cameron
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)