Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Matt Vierling

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 30
IN · 3 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLEJoey Cantillo
Sample1652.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 23.3
F 23.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 22.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 23.3% Market 25.4% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 500 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 13.8
F 13.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 13.8% Market -- Gap +13.2pp
FanDuel 270 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
46
Exit velocity87.0
33
Hard-hit%34.4%
28 -39 vs proj
xBA0.304
29
xSLG0.473
37
xwOBA0.309
49
BB%8.1%
42
Bat speed69.8
52
K%16.2%
83 +36 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.6 · CF
12
Arm Strength87.2 · CF
13
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
9
Range Runs0.5 · CF
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · CF
30
Bolts1.0 · CF
16
Sprint Speed28.3 · CF
78
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.5%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions66.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.310
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.327
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.265 to 0.374
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherJoey Cantillo
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)