Mithrandir Metrics
LAD 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Kyle Tucker

LAD · Hitter · bats L · age 29
IN · 6 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupLAD vs CWSSean Burke
Sample2985.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 22.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
Model 23.2% Market 18.1% Gap +4.3pp
FanDuel 430 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 68.2
F 80.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V 79.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 68.2% Market 78.1% Gap +2.8pp
FanDuel 140 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 26.9
F 26.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 26.9% Market -- Gap +4.2pp
FanDuel 320 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
35 -44 vs proj
Exit velocity89.1
58
Hard-hit%39.0%
47 -17 vs proj
xBA0.323
50
xSLG0.489
43
xwOBA0.323
61 -30 vs proj
BB%12.4%
84
Bat speed68.5
35
K%20.1%
61 -23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.7 · RF
94
Arm Strength90.3 · RF
26
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · RF
4
Range Runs-4.6 · RF
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · RF
70
Sprint Speed26.3 · RF
24
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.7%
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.9%
91
Correct Decisions73.3%
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
93
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.244
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.329 to 0.419
RegressionNegative · -0.030
Opposing pitcherSean Burke
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)