Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Willson Contreras

BOS · Hitter · bats R · age 34

IN · 3 Neutral

MatchupBOS vs TEXJacob deGrom

Sample--career MLB AB

PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 0 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only

Tonight's props · all markets for this player

Home Run 0.5

P 20.5

F 17.2

V 17.2

Model 19.5% Market 15.2% Gap +3.8pp

FanDuel 535 tracking Open board

Total Bases 0.5

P 62.0

F 78.4 EXPERIMENTAL

V 76.8 EXPERIMENTAL

FULL

Model 62.0% Market 73.6% Gap +2.4pp

FanDuel 120 tracking Open board

Hits --

Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --

RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB

Insufficient sample

Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.

Context

projection · regression · matchup

Projected range0.316 to 0.393

RegressionNo current flag

Opposing pitcherJacob deGrom

EnvironmentNeutral

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-06-12

Palantir 5214 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Fangorn 5214 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)