Mithrandir Metrics
KC 2026-06-13 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-13

Salvador Perez

KC · Hitter · bats R · age 36
IN · 6 Positive regression Neutral
MatchupKC vs HOUMike Burrows
Sample6726.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 18.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
Model 18.9% Market 17.2% Gap +1.0pp
FanDuel 460 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.2
F 74.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V 73.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 57.2% Market 71.0% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 20.8
F 21.3 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 20.8% Market -- Gap +8.7pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
75
Exit velocity88.9
55
Hard-hit%40.9%
55
xBA0.281
16
xSLG0.489
43
xwOBA0.288
29 -41 vs proj
BB%4.4%
10
Bat speed70.0
56
K%19.0%
68 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
60
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
57
Framing Runs-4.0 · C
6
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · C
14
Pop Time2.0 · C
37
Range Runs-1.7 · C
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.0 · DH
1
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.6%
10
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.4%
81
Correct Decisions62.7%
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.245 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.384
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.308 to 0.372
RegressionPositive · 0.004
Opposing pitcherMike Burrows
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-16
Palantir 6003 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 6003 props Brier 0.127 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)