The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Suzuki, Seiya in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats R · 343 PA
Ranked comps for Suzuki, Seiya
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA | 0.76 | Sprint speedBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA | 0.72 | Whiff rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -0.9zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 293 PA | 0.71 | Chase ratePull rateBat speed | Walk rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA | 0.69 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zBarrel rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA | 0.68 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Pull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Hard-hit rate +1.2zBat speed +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 415 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate | Fly-ball rate +1.4zChase rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate +2.0zSwing length +1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.8zSprint speed -1.4zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | In-zone contact -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.