Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.287 vs 0.242 xwOBA split).
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Abrams, Cj
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.322 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.340 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.334 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.312
0.322
0.334
0.346
0.357
wOBA
0.367
0.381
0.397
0.414
0.428
ISO
0.190
0.202
0.216
0.229
0.242
K%
18.6%
19.7%
21.0%
22.2%
23.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
68
Exit velocity89.9
72
Hard-hit%42.1%
64
xBA0.339
67
xSLG0.587
73
xwOBA0.340
78
BB%8.4%
48
+25 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
67
K%21.2%
58
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.0 · SS
53
Outs Above Avg-11.0 · SS
1
Range Runs-8.4 · SS
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · SS
78
Bolts8.0 · SS
64
SB Success Rate78.6% · SS
41
Sprint Speed28.4 · SS
79
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
46
Correct Decisions64.5% · rebadged research
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
20
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.394 · insufficient sample
0
Resists FastballwOBA 0.409 · validated
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
205 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.072 |
| Sample | 415 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 593 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.326 | 0.304 to 0.369 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.183 | 0.144 to 0.255 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 3.6% to 7.7% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.4% | 36.5% to 47.1% | +/- 5.3% |
| K% | 19.8% | 15.6% to 25.5% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 4.7% to 9.1% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.249 to 0.333 | +/- 0.042 |
vs LHP
684 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.242 |
| K% | 21.1% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
1616 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.287 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |