The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McLain, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 329 PA

Ranked comps for McLain, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Laureano, Ramón SD · R · 224 PA 0.71 Avg exit velocityPull rateBat speed Chase rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 278 PA 0.70 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateBat speed Swing length +1.4zSprint speed -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 415 PA 0.70 In-zone contactOppo rateGround-ball rate Barrel rate +1.0zChase rate +0.9zBat speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate Pull rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 222 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.2zSwing length -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 400 PA 0.66 Sprint speedPull rateChase rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 425 PA 0.62 Oppo ratePull rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed -2.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2zxwOBA on contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA 0.60 In-zone contactGround-ball rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 442 PA 0.60 Barrel rateAvg exit velocitySwing length Sprint speed -2.1zBat speed -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.60 xwOBA on contactChase rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 429 PA 0.59 Sprint speedChase rateStrikeout rate Ground-ball rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 271 PA 0.58 Max exit velocityFly-ball rateOppo rate Swing length +2.1zIn-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.