The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abrams, CJ in signal, the comp in amber.

WSH · bats L · 667 PA

Ranked comps for Abrams, CJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.76 Strikeout ratePull rateBat speed Barrel rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9z
02 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 473 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactBat speed Walk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1zIsolated power -0.9z
03 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.71 Whiff rateBat speedPull rate Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +0.9zIsolated power -0.8z
04 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 593 PA 0.70 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBat speed Swing length -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -0.9z
05 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.68 Pull rateAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z
06 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 678 PA 0.68 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.0zHard-hit rate +1.0z
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.67 Bat speedHard-hit ratePull rate Isolated power -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
08 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 524 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Isolated power -1.9zSwing length +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.7z
09 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA 0.65 Bat speedMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z
10 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 623 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateFly-ball rate In-zone contact +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4zWhiff rate -1.2z
11 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA 0.65 Bat speedGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.5zChase rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +0.9z
12 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 629 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateOppo rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.