The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jensen, Carter in signal, the comp in amber.

KC · bats L · 617 PA

Ranked comps for Jensen, Carter

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA 0.71 Ground-ball rateSwing lengthSprint speed Strikeout rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.68 Sprint speedOppo rateBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
03 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 479 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateChase rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0zMax exit velocity -0.9z
04 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate Oppo rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z
05 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.66 In-zone contactWhiff rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.0z
06 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.66 Avg exit velocitySprint speedWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2zChase rate +1.1z
07 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateIsolated powerHard-hit rate Swing length +1.9zOppo rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z
08 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.61 In-zone contactBarrel rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.1z
09 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.61 In-zone contactWhiff rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +2.0zxwOBA on contact +1.6zSprint speed -0.9z
10 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateIsolated power Chase rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.5zWhiff rate +1.1z
11 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.3z
12 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 479 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityBat speedxwOBA on contact Strikeout rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.