The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Greene, Riley in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats L · 607 PA
Ranked comps for Greene, Riley
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.77 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | Barrel rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | xwOBA on contact -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 628 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedWalk rateIn-zone contact | xwOBA on contact -1.2zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 589 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Walk rate +1.6zSwing length +1.0zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Isolated power +1.5zSwing length +1.2zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate | xwOBA on contact -1.4zIsolated power -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 691 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length | Fly-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 487 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Bat speed -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.2zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.62 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthPull rate | xwOBA on contact -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.62 | Oppo rateWalk rateChase rate | Avg exit velocity +1.4zSprint speed -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Caissie, Owen MIA · L · 342 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 617 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactWhiff rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.6zSprint speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.