Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2025-09-02 |
Player profile / Kansas City Royals
Carter Jensen
C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 210 lb · Age 23
Club Kansas City Royals
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 69 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 0 | .300 | .391 | .550 | .941 |
| 2026 | 346 | 41 | 73 | 13 | 1 | .236 | .303 | .421 | .724 |
| 2 Seasons | 415 | 53 | 91 | 16 | 1 | .247 | .318 | .442 | .760 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
58
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.287 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.303 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.272
0.287
0.303
0.319
0.334
wOBA
0.297
0.312
0.328
0.345
0.360
ISO
0.139
0.156
0.174
0.192
0.209
K%
22.9%
24.7%
26.6%
28.5%
30.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
56
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity90.8
84
Hard-hit%43.9%
72
xBA0.315
43
xSLG0.547
63
xwOBA0.287
28
-54 vs proj
BB%9.3%
59
Bat speed71.6
76
K%28.8%
19
-31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-2.4 · C
1
Catcher Throwing2.5 · C
95
Framing Runs2.8 · C
81
Pop Time1.9 · C
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · C
44
Sprint Speed27.7 · C
58
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.6% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.7% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions71.2% · rebadged research
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.234 · borderline
100
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
77
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.404 · validated
3
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
156 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.059 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.017 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Jensen’s wOBA sits at 0.328, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.287 — a gap of 0.042, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 364 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.80 | Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.76 | Sprint speedBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L | 0.71 | Ground-ball rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Happ, Ian CHC · L | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-18 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HBP, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | RBI |