The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 293 PA

Ranked comps for Keith, Colt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Young, Cole SEA · L · 408 PA 0.72 Walk ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.71 Chase ratePull rateBat speed Walk rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.2zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 403 PA 0.62 Oppo rateBat speedGround-ball rate xwOBA on contact +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA 0.62 In-zone contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -1.8zSwing length +1.3zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA 0.61 Ground-ball rateBat speedOppo rate Max exit velocity -1.9zSwing length +1.7zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 372 PA 0.61 Pull rateOppo rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -1.8zChase rate +1.7zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactBarrel rate Swing length +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA 0.58 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSwing length +1.5zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA 0.58 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 400 PA 0.58 Isolated powerWhiff rateFly-ball rate Oppo rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zPull rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA 0.57 Isolated powerFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.9zSprint speed -1.1zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.