The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 444 PA

Ranked comps for Keith, Colt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA 0.76 xwOBA on contactChase rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.72 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA 0.70 Walk rateBat speedIsolated power Max exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA 0.69 Chase rateBat speedSprint speed Walk rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.69 Pull rateWalk rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.3zSwing length +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.67 Walk ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Chase rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 658 PA 0.66 Whiff rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.6zOppo rate +1.3zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 619 PA 0.65 Isolated powerAvg exit velocitySprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.1zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zSwing length +1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.63 Pull rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.6zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA 0.63 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Chase rate +2.0zMax exit velocity -1.5zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA 0.62 Bat speedBarrel rateGround-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.5zSprint speed -1.1zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.