The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abreu, Wilyer in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 415 PA

Ranked comps for Abreu, Wilyer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA 0.71 Ground-ball rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Strikeout rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.70 In-zone contactOppo rateGround-ball rate Barrel rate -1.0zChase rate -0.9zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityChase rate Whiff rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zChase rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 425 PA 0.66 Oppo rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Sprint speed -1.9zBat speed -1.3zBarrel rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactChase rate Max exit velocity +1.5zIsolated power +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.62 Barrel rateIsolated powerSwing length xwOBA on contact +1.1zSprint speed -1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactSprint speedWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zSwing length +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 208 PA 0.60 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zBarrel rate -1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 271 PA 0.59 Walk rateOppo rateIsolated power Whiff rate +1.4zSwing length +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 385 PA 0.59 Sprint speedPull rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 296 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityWhiff rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.