The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Karros, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 488 PA

Ranked comps for Karros, Kyle

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA 0.78 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.0zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA 0.76 xwOBA on contactChase rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.1zMax exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 658 PA 0.73 Barrel rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Sprint speed +1.2zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA 0.73 Swing lengthPull rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.0zSprint speed +0.9zHard-hit rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA 0.73 Barrel rateSwing lengthGround-ball rate Walk rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.72 Swing lengthMax exit velocityBarrel rate Whiff rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 687 PA 0.71 Chase rateHard-hit rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.1zPull rate -1.0zIn-zone contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 406 PA 0.69 Ground-ball rateChase rateIsolated power Avg exit velocity -1.3zSwing length +1.1zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA 0.69 Oppo rateSwing lengthBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 679 PA 0.66 Isolated powerMax exit velocityOppo rate Fly-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.0zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 726 PA 0.65 Chase rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA 0.65 In-zone contactPull rateAvg exit velocity Bat speed +1.6zSwing length +1.4zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.