The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bell, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats L · 394 PA
Ranked comps for Bell, Josh
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA | 0.77 | Chase rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Walk rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.76 | Chase rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | Swing length -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA | 0.74 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWalk rate | Strikeout rate -1.0zSwing length -1.0zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA | 0.74 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerSwing length | Whiff rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.3zGround-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.68 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Sprint speed +1.8zIsolated power +1.1zChase rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateFly-ball rateBat speed | Swing length -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 244 PA | 0.67 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate | Swing length -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityChase rate | Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Isolated power -1.5zSwing length -1.4zStrikeout rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Swing length -1.8zSprint speed +1.4zChase rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Whiff rate +1.2zChase rate +1.1zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.