The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bell, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 642 PA

Ranked comps for Bell, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA 0.77 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateChase rate Walk rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.0zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.74 Bat speedFly-ball rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.74 Barrel rateSprint speedHard-hit rate Swing length -1.2zWhiff rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA 0.73 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.0zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.71 Chase rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Whiff rate +1.1zSwing length -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA 0.70 Sprint speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate Swing length -1.6zPull rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.70 Walk rateIn-zone contactChase rate Sprint speed +1.5zBarrel rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.69 Whiff rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.7zSwing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 684 PA 0.68 Whiff rateWalk rateFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 717 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateSprint speedStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.67 Isolated powerIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.8zSprint speed +1.1zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.66 Pull ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Strikeout rate +1.6zSwing length -1.6zWhiff rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.