Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 5" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2025-08-08 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Kyle Karros
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 225 lb · Age 24
Club Colorado Rockies
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 156 | 20 | 31 | 1 | 0 | .226 | .308 | .277 | .585 |
| 2026 | 467 | 63 | 103 | 13 | 5 | .256 | .351 | .419 | .770 |
| 2 Seasons | 623 | 83 | 134 | 14 | 5 | .248 | .340 | .383 | .723 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.338 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.315 |
| Observed weight | 69% |
xwOBA
0.290
0.302
0.315
0.329
0.341
wOBA
0.336
0.349
0.364
0.379
0.392
ISO
0.122
0.134
0.148
0.161
0.173
K%
17.7%
19.1%
20.7%
22.3%
23.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
58
+39 vs proj
Exit velocity89.6
73
Hard-hit%41.4%
66
+32 vs proj
xBA0.334
69
xSLG0.537
61
xwOBA0.338
84
+74 vs proj
BB%11.3%
83
+47 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
29
K%20.5%
64
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
39
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-0.0 · 3B
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · 3B
70
Sprint Speed27.0 · 3B
38
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
63
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
54
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
85
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.385 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.322 · validated
97
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
192 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.086 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.113 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Karros’s wOBA sits at 0.364, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.338 — a gap of 0.027, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 488 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freeman, Freddie LAD · L | 0.78 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Keith, Colt DET · L | 0.76 | xwOBA on contactChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Benge, Carson NYM · L | 0.73 | Barrel rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.73 | Swing lengthPull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-07-11 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 16 | 2026-09-25 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.370 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.251 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs TEX0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 1 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | BB, R |