Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 5" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2025-08-08 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Kyle Karros
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 225 lb · Age 23
Club Colorado Rockies
Position 3B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 156 | 20 | 31 | 1 | 0 | .226 | .308 | .277 | .585 |
| 2026 | 236 | 32 | 50 | 3 | 2 | .246 | .343 | .360 | .703 |
| 2 Seasons | 392 | 52 | 81 | 4 | 2 | .238 | .329 | .326 | .655 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
57
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.332 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.268
0.283
0.301
0.318
0.334
wOBA
0.304
0.323
0.343
0.364
0.382
ISO
0.074
0.091
0.109
0.127
0.143
K%
16.9%
19.0%
21.2%
23.5%
25.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
29
Exit velocity89.4
62
Hard-hit%42.8%
64
+36 vs proj
xBA0.342
68
xSLG0.508
50
xwOBA0.332
69
+63 vs proj
BB%12.3%
82
+48 vs proj
Bat speed68.0
27
K%21.3%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
48
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 3B
91
Range Runs3.0 · 3B
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.6 · 3B
88
Sprint Speed27.1 · 3B
42
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.3% · rebadged research
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.387 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
86
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
136 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.081 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.092 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Karros’s wOBA sits at 0.343, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.332 — a gap of 0.011, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 244 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-20 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.251 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs TEX0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 1 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | BB, R |