The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Steer, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 378 PA

Ranked comps for Steer, Spencer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.75 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.4zPull rate -1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA 0.74 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateMax exit velocity Pull rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.74 Chase rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate Barrel rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.1zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA 0.70 xwOBA on contactStrikeout ratePull rate Isolated power +1.2zChase rate +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.69 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4zBarrel rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateSprint speed Chase rate +1.7zIsolated power -1.0zBarrel rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 403 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate Pull rate -1.7zHard-hit rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactPull rate Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerChase rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA 0.64 Isolated powerWhiff rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.3zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA 0.62 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Isolated power +1.4zSprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.