The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Steer, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 405 PA

Ranked comps for Steer, Spencer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA 0.71 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.3zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 593 PA 0.71 Strikeout rateBarrel rateWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zChase rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 411 PA 0.71 Chase rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Barrel rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 371 PA 0.68 Isolated powerIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.66 Hard-hit ratePull rateChase rate Isolated power +1.3zSprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA 0.66 Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 623 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.3zPull rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Pull rate -1.6zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 362 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Pull rate -1.7zSwing length -0.9zChase rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityOppo ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 629 PA 0.63 Bat speedAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Pull rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.4zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.