The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Nathaniel in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 437 PA
Ranked comps for Lowe, Nathaniel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 642 PA | 0.73 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zIsolated power -1.0zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA | 0.71 | Isolated powerChase rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.0zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA | 0.71 | Bat speedGround-ball ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zIn-zone contact -0.9zWalk rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 623 PA | 0.71 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 631 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateWalk rate | Barrel rate +1.2zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | France, Ty SD · R · 513 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthFly-ball ratePull rate | Chase rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA | 0.67 | Sprint speedPull rateOppo rate | Bat speed -1.2zSwing length -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.66 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityOppo rate | Sprint speed +1.7zWalk rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 679 PA | 0.66 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Bat speed -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Isolated power -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3zWhiff rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zWhiff rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 488 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactPull rateAvg exit velocity | Bat speed -1.6zSwing length -1.4zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.