The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats L · 417 PA
Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zPull rate -0.9zStrikeout rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.62 | In-zone contactGround-ball ratePull rate | Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.57 | In-zone contactWalk rateBat speed | Max exit velocity -1.2zSwing length -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA | 0.56 | Bat speedWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Walk rate -2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.2zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA | 0.55 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot ratePull rate | Max exit velocity -2.0zIsolated power +1.1zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 372 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Chase rate -1.4zPull rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.52 | Bat speedFly-ball rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.8zPull rate -1.6zSwing length -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.52 | Oppo rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.3zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 430 PA | 0.49 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate -2.0zIn-zone contact -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA | 0.49 | Oppo rateBarrel rateWalk rate | Max exit velocity -1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.48 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Max exit velocity -1.6zSwing length -1.5zIsolated power -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.