The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Harper, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 416 PA

Ranked comps for Harper, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA 0.73 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.1zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.70 Max exit velocityBarrel ratePull rate Chase rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0zHard-hit rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Walk rate -2.0zBarrel rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 339 PA 0.65 Chase ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Pull rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.65 In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA 0.65 Bat speedAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA 0.64 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.5zChase rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactBat speedGround-ball rate Whiff rate -1.6zChase rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.64 Whiff rateFly-ball rateSwing length Sprint speed -1.8zBat speed -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA 0.64 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactSwing length Sprint speed +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA 0.63 Bat speedBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.63 Sprint speedWhiff rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.