The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Harper, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 691 PA

Ranked comps for Harper, Bryce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA 0.67 Max exit velocitySwing lengthBarrel rate Chase rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z
02 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 713 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z
03 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 538 PA 0.64 Bat speedPull rateFly-ball rate Walk rate -2.5zBarrel rate +0.9zOppo rate -0.7z
04 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 474 PA 0.63 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z
05 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length Fly-ball rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z
06 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.62 Whiff rateSprint speedHard-hit rate Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.1z
07 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 589 PA 0.60 Pull rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed Chase rate -1.8zHard-hit rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z
08 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 686 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSprint speed Walk rate -1.8zBat speed -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z
09 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.59 Barrel rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z
10 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 482 PA 0.57 In-zone contactBarrel rateHard-hit rate Walk rate -2.1zIsolated power -1.6zPull rate -0.8z
11 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 631 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact Walk rate -2.2zPull rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.0z
12 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.56 Sweet-spot rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.