Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Langeliers, Shea
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.323 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.390 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.359 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.334
0.346
0.359
0.372
0.384
wOBA
0.380
0.398
0.419
0.440
0.459
ISO
0.200
0.217
0.235
0.254
0.271
K%
18.0%
19.4%
20.9%
22.5%
23.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.4%
60
+24 vs proj
Barrel%10.2%
95
+18 vs proj
Bat speed74.1
95
Exit velocity92.3
92
Hard-hit%46.0%
75
K%19.3%
66
+23 vs proj
xBA0.370
85
xSLG0.709
92
xwOBA0.390
95
+39 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.8 · C
90
Catcher Throwing0.5 · C
55
Framing Runs-2.4 · C
16
Pop Time1.9 · C
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · C
43
Sprint Speed28.5 · C
83
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.0% · rebadged research
88
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.371 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
169 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.075 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.105 |
| Sample | 254 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 527 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 26 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.315 | 0.305 to 0.363 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.182 | 0.161 to 0.290 | +/- 0.065 |
| Barrel% | 7.2% | 5.5% to 9.7% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.4% | 38.3% to 50.7% | +/- 6.2% |
| K% | 23.0% | 18.9% to 29.3% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 5.3% to 10.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.233 to 0.314 | +/- 0.041 |
vs LHP
465 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 6.6% |
vs RHP
1302 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 20.5% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 7.1% |