Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Langeliers, Shea
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
87
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.323 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.360 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.347 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.324
0.335
0.347
0.359
0.369
wOBA
0.338
0.353
0.369
0.385
0.400
ISO
0.194
0.208
0.223
0.238
0.252
K%
19.7%
20.9%
22.2%
23.5%
24.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.0%
96
+16 vs proj
Exit velocity92.0
92
Hard-hit%45.1%
76
xBA0.354
80
xSLG0.673
90
xwOBA0.360
89
+30 vs proj
BB%8.3%
47
Bat speed74.1
95
K%21.8%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.5 · C
24
Catcher Throwing1.6 · C
84
Framing Runs-4.2 · C
7
Pop Time1.9 · C
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.0 · C
41
Sprint Speed28.5 · C
81
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6% · rebadged research
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9% · rebadged research
85
Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · borderline
3
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
205 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.045 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
| Sample | 399 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 527 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 26 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.315 | 0.305 to 0.363 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.182 | 0.161 to 0.290 | +/- 0.065 |
| Barrel% | 7.2% | 5.5% to 9.7% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.4% | 38.3% to 50.7% | +/- 6.2% |
| K% | 23.0% | 18.9% to 29.3% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 5.3% to 10.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.233 to 0.314 | +/- 0.041 |
vs LHP
465 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 6.6% |
vs RHP
1302 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.267 |
| K% | 20.5% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 7.1% |