The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cruz, Oneil in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 300 PA
Ranked comps for Cruz, Oneil
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Caglianone, Jac KC · L · 358 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIsolated power | Avg exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Walker, Jordan STL · R · 410 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateBat speedSweet-spot rate | Swing length +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 363 PA | 0.52 | Ground-ball rateSprint speedBarrel rate | Oppo rate +1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Mitchell, Garrett MIL · L · 331 PA | 0.50 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate -1.6zChase rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 430 PA | 0.44 | Barrel rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Walk rate +2.4zChase rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA | 0.41 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Walk rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA | 0.41 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zWhiff rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA | 0.39 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -2.0zAvg exit velocity -1.7zHard-hit rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.39 | Sweet-spot rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Avg exit velocity -2.0zHard-hit rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.36 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -2.4zStrikeout rate -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 260 PA | 0.33 | Isolated powerChase rateStrikeout rate | xwOBA on contact -2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA | 0.31 | Chase rateSprint speedBarrel rate | Strikeout rate -2.0zGround-ball rate -2.0zHard-hit rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.