The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. De La Cruz, Elly in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats L · 363 PA

Ranked comps for De La Cruz, Elly

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA 0.64 Isolated powerSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zHard-hit rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0z
02 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA 0.63 Chase rateWhiff rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -2.4zOppo rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -0.8z
03 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.59 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate +1.4zSwing length +1.4zWalk rate +1.2z
04 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.55 Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateBat speed Ground-ball rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.5zSprint speed -1.3z
05 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 296 PA 0.53 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2z
06 Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 300 PA 0.52 Ground-ball rateSprint speedBarrel rate Oppo rate -1.7zWhiff rate +1.3zSwing length +1.3z
07 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 374 PA 0.51 Oppo rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Avg exit velocity -1.8zSwing length +1.4zIsolated power -1.3z
08 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 339 PA 0.51 Bat speedWalk ratePull rate Sprint speed -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.4zChase rate +1.2z
09 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.50 Sweet-spot rateBat speedIn-zone contact Oppo rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.6zPull rate +1.5z
10 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 440 PA 0.49 Swing lengthOppo rateWhiff rate Walk rate +1.7zBarrel rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.2z
11 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.48 Isolated powerWhiff rateWalk rate Sprint speed -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3z
12 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA 0.48 Max exit velocityWhiff rateBat speed Pull rate +2.0zSwing length +1.9zWalk rate +1.6z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.