The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rice, Ben in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 411 PA
Ranked comps for Rice, Ben
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.63 | Swing lengthBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.4zBat speed +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactOppo rate | Isolated power -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA | 0.61 | Strikeout rateWalk rateChase rate | Swing length -1.7zIsolated power -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Chase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedChase rateSprint speed | Avg exit velocity -1.6zSwing length -1.4zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA | 0.56 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zPull rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 291 PA | 0.56 | Chase rateFly-ball rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate -1.9zIn-zone contact -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.55 | Hard-hit ratePull rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3zBat speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA | 0.55 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot ratePull rate | Max exit velocity +2.0zIsolated power -1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.53 | Hard-hit rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.5zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA | 0.52 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateChase rate | In-zone contact -1.8zSprint speed +1.4zWhiff rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.