The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rice, Ben in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 411 PA

Ranked comps for Rice, Ben

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.63 Swing lengthBarrel rateGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.4zBat speed +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2z
02 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA 0.63 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Isolated power -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z
03 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateWalk rateChase rate Swing length -1.7zIsolated power -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
04 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.59 Oppo rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z
05 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA 0.59 Bat speedChase rateSprint speed Avg exit velocity -1.6zSwing length -1.4zIsolated power -1.0z
06 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.0zPull rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.0z
07 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 291 PA 0.56 Chase rateFly-ball rateBat speed Ground-ball rate -1.9zIn-zone contact -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z
08 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA 0.55 Hard-hit ratePull rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3zBat speed +1.3z
09 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA 0.55 Strikeout rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Max exit velocity +2.0zIsolated power -1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9z
10 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA 0.54 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed +1.2z
11 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA 0.53 Hard-hit rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.5zPull rate -1.1z
12 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA 0.52 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateChase rate In-zone contact -1.8zSprint speed +1.4zWhiff rate +1.4z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.