Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 216 lb |
| Debut | 2018-06-07 |
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers
Jake Bauers
1B · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 0", 216 lb · Age 30
Club Milwaukee Brewers
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 346 | 45 | 60 | 12 | 13 | .199 | .301 | .361 | .662 |
| 2025 | 218 | 28 | 43 | 7 | 8 | .235 | .353 | .399 | .752 |
| 2026 | 570 | 92 | 126 | 26 | 11 | .268 | .391 | .489 | .880 |
| 7 Seasons | 2532 | 314 | 486 | 84 | 50 | .224 | .326 | .392 | .718 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
95
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.371 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.352 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
xwOBA
0.327
0.339
0.352
0.365
0.377
wOBA
0.387
0.400
0.413
0.427
0.439
ISO
0.195
0.208
0.222
0.235
0.248
K%
24.8%
26.0%
27.3%
28.7%
29.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.3%
91
+26 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
95
Hard-hit%53.3%
97
+20 vs proj
xBA0.375
94
xSLG0.695
94
xwOBA0.371
96
+41 vs proj
BB%16.1%
99
+25 vs proj
Bat speed74.2
96
K%26.5%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · 1B
5
Arm Strength92.6 · 1B
86
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 1B
8
Range Runs-7.2 · 1B
7
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.6 · 1B
84
SB Success Rate72.7% · 1B
31
Sprint Speed26.9 · 1B
35
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
49
Correct Decisions68.9% · rebadged research
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.395 · validated
2
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.331 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
221 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.063 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.105 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bauers’s wOBA sits at 0.413, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.371 — a gap of 0.042, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 589 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.72 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Kurtz, Nick ATH · L | 0.66 | Oppo rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Rice, Ben NYY · L | 0.66 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Greene, Riley DET · L | 0.64 | Whiff rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11 | 2026-09-06 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 25 | 2026-09-24 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.347 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.308 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | BB, K, 3 R |
| 2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 vs TOR1 HR | 3 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, K |