Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Bauers, Jake
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.366 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.342 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Jake Bauers's tools (72) outpace production (78) by -6 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
Field-coordinate spray profile
157 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.058 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.117 |
| Sample | 365 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 362 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.308 | 0.256 to 0.374 | +/- 0.059 |
| ISO | 0.155 | 0.106 to 0.257 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 5.8% | 4.1% to 9.8% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.0% | 36.1% to 53.6% | +/- 8.8% |
| K% | 29.2% | 23.6% to 37.7% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 10.4% | 7.8% to 14.2% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.201 to 0.337 | +/- 0.068 |
428 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.217 |
| K% | 21.3% |
| BB% | 6.7% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
1680 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 23.8% |
| BB% | 9.3% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |