Kurtz, Nick
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.379 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.366 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Field-coordinate spray profile
157 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
| Sample | 430 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 447 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 27 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.357 | 0.316 to 0.401 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.239 | 0.198 to 0.327 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 8.6% | 5.9% to 10.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 48.1% | 38.9% to 52.7% | +/- 6.9% |
| K% | 28.1% | 23.1% to 34.8% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 11.8% | 9.6% to 15.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.319 | 0.286 to 0.370 | +/- 0.042 |
156 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 23.2% |
| BB% | 6.6% |
| Barrel | 4.7% |
338 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 20.0% |
| BB% | 10.1% |
| Barrel | 7.6% |