The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 702 PA

Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate +1.4zPull rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA 0.51 Whiff rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Walk rate -1.9zxwOBA on contact -1.3zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.50 Barrel rateFly-ball rateChase rate Bat speed -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.4zSwing length -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 622 PA 0.49 In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA 0.49 In-zone contactFly-ball rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.8zChase rate +1.3zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA 0.47 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zSwing length -1.7zWalk rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 589 PA 0.46 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateBat speed Oppo rate +2.3zPull rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.45 Bat speedWhiff rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.3zChase rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 733 PA 0.44 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +2.9zChase rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 628 PA 0.44 Whiff rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate xwOBA on contact -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.43 Chase rateBat speedMax exit velocity Pull rate -2.4zOppo rate +1.7zIsolated power -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.43 Barrel rateBat speedStrikeout rate Walk rate -2.2zSprint speed +1.7zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.