The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint

No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.

Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 425 PA

Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA 0.43 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.4z
02 Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA 0.42 Bat speedChase ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.8zPull rate -1.7z
03 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA 0.41 Bat speedIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.9zxwOBA on contact -1.9zAvg exit velocity -1.5z
04 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA 0.38 Barrel rateWhiff rateBat speed Chase rate +2.3zWalk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.6z
05 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.38 Whiff rateIn-zone contactChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.7z
06 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.38 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateOppo rate xwOBA on contact -2.1zWalk rate -1.5zChase rate +1.4z
07 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA 0.38 Isolated powerBarrel rateChase rate Ground-ball rate +2.1zIn-zone contact +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.7z
08 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 393 PA 0.36 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate xwOBA on contact -2.1zIsolated power -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.3z
09 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA 0.35 Bat speedMax exit velocityWhiff rate Ground-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5z
10 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 291 PA 0.34 Max exit velocityWalk rateOppo rate xwOBA on contact -2.4zStrikeout rate -2.4zAvg exit velocity -1.6z
11 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.34 Bat speedWalk rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate +2.4zGround-ball rate +2.0zxwOBA on contact -1.7z
12 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA 0.32 Whiff rateChase rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.8z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.