Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Rice, Ben
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.373 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.409 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.392 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Ben Rice's tools (69) outpace production (74) by -5 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Power Efficiency Gap. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
Field-coordinate spray profile
152 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.112 |
| Sample | 250 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 511 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 23 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.362 | 0.333 to 0.413 | +/- 0.040 |
| ISO | 0.193 | 0.152 to 0.278 | +/- 0.063 |
| Barrel% | 8.7% | 6.7% to 11.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 48.6% | 43.5% to 54.8% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 20.0% | 17.3% to 26.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BB% | 10.3% | 7.6% to 13.5% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.269 | 0.214 to 0.298 | +/- 0.042 |
181 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.250 |
| K% | 18.0% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |
590 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 8.0% |
| Barrel | 8.4% |