The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Mayo, Coby in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats R · 260 PA
Ranked comps for Mayo, Coby
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateBat speedSwing length | Fly-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 413 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactChase ratePull rate | Strikeout rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA | 0.54 | Strikeout rateOppo rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zIn-zone contact -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.54 | Whiff ratePull rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zxwOBA on contact +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 364 PA | 0.53 | In-zone contactSprint speedFly-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.9zPull rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.53 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA | 0.52 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +2.5zAvg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.51 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Walk rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA | 0.51 | Swing lengthWalk rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zIsolated power +1.6zChase rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 310 PA | 0.51 | Barrel rateWalk rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 379 PA | 0.50 | Whiff rateOppo rateChase rate | In-zone contact -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA | 0.50 | Walk rateSwing lengthChase rate | Max exit velocity -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.