The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Kurtz, Nick in signal, the comp in amber.
ATH · bats L · 430 PA
Ranked comps for Kurtz, Nick
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Wood, James WSH · L · 481 PA | 0.62 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | xwOBA on contact +1.3zIsolated power +1.1zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.54 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zPull rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.50 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateIsolated power | Walk rate -2.0zSwing length -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA | 0.49 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate +2.0zIn-zone contact +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.47 | Sprint speedBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 363 PA | 0.47 | Isolated powerPull rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -2.7zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA | 0.46 | Pull rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Hard-hit rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 300 PA | 0.44 | Barrel rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Walk rate -2.4zChase rate +1.6zOppo rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 372 PA | 0.39 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerOppo rate | In-zone contact +2.5zWhiff rate -2.0zSprint speed +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.38 | Sprint speedFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +2.0zWhiff rate -1.7zWalk rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.36 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.8zHard-hit rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.