The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats L · 622 PA

Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 589 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate Oppo rate +1.2zChase rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.62 Pull rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 650 PA 0.58 Isolated powerBarrel rateMax exit velocity Pull rate -2.1zSwing length -1.7zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.54 Strikeout rateOppo rateWalk rate Max exit velocity -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 437 PA 0.54 Chase ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.51 Isolated powerSprint speedWhiff rate Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6zSwing length -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.50 Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -2.1zPull rate -1.9zSwing length -1.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 702 PA 0.49 In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 733 PA 0.48 Bat speedStrikeout ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 691 PA 0.47 Whiff rateGround-ball rateBat speed Barrel rate -1.6zSwing length -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA 0.46 Swing lengthPull rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.