Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-09-26 · saved artifact ROWS 34 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-26

Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs CLE	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.288count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
02	Kyle TeelCWS	CWS vs COL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.293count	98.0%selected	1.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
03	Mickey MoniakCOL	COL vs CWS	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.34count	98.0%selected	1.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
04	Danny JansenTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.534count	98.0%selected	2.95role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 20000 avg 1 books
05	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs CWS	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+100.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.751count	98.0%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 8000 avg 1 books
06	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs MIL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+100.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.682count	98.0%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 8000 avg 1 books
07	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs DET	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+100.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.67count	98.0%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
08	Maikel GarciaKC	KC vs CLE	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+100.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	98.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
09	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs TEX	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.687count	98.0%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 17500 avg 1 books
10	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs TEX	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+99.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	98.0%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 6500 avg 1 books
11	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs KC	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+99.50%	2+ Hitsline	1.065count	98.0%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 4000 avg 1 books
12	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs COL	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+99.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.956count	98.0%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 7000 avg 1 books
13	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs TEX	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+99.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.848count	98.0%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
14	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs MIL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+100.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.734count	98.0%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 15000 avg 1 books
15	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+99.91%	1+ Hitline	0.693count	98.0%selected	3.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 22500 avg 1 books
16	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs TEX	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+99.90%	1+ Hitline	0.72count	98.0%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 22500 avg 1 books
17	Josh SmithTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.685count	98.0%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 22500 avg 1 books
18	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs CWS	P 4.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 3	4.4%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+95.56%	1+ Hitline	0.953count	4.4%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 2700 avg 1 books
19	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs CLE	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+99.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.863count	98.0%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 15000 avg 1 books
20	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs CWS	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+99.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.796count	98.0%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
21	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs CLE	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+99.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.894count	98.0%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
22	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+99.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.971count	98.0%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 7000 avg 1 books
23	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs CLE	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+99.44%	2+ Hitsline	1.096count	98.0%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 6000 avg 1 books
24	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs MIL	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+99.61%	1+ Hitline	1.001count	2.0%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
25	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+99.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.946count	98.0%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 8000 avg 1 books
26	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs DET	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+99.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.863count	98.0%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
27	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs DET	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+99.72%	2+ Hitsline	0.916count	98.0%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 8000 avg 1 books
28	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs CWS	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+99.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.801count	98.0%selected	3.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books
29	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs COL	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 3	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	83.3%no-vig	+98.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.668count	98.0%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 3500 avg 1 books
30	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs DET	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+99.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.947count	98.0%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
31	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs DET	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 4	2.0%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+99.50%	1+ Hitline	1.064count	2.0%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 10000 avg 1 books
32	Corey SeagerTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+99.60%	2+ Hitsline	1.009count	98.0%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 7000 avg 1 books
33	Spencer HorwitzPIT	PIT vs DET	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 2.5 3 of 3	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	95.7%no-vig	+98.05%	3+ Hitsline	0.807count	98.0%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 2200 avg 1 books
34	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs MIN	P 2.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 4	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+99.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.849count	98.0%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 12500 avg 1 books