Mithrandir Metrics
PIT 2026-09-26 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-26

Oneil Cruz

PIT · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 4 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupPIT vs DETJustin Verlander
Sample1751.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 1.5
P 23.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 23.0% Market 45.7% Gap +4.3pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 98.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +13.6pp
FanDuel 12500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.5%
91
Exit velocity94.3
99
Hard-hit%54.4%
98
xBA0.404
99
xSLG0.761
98
xwOBA0.353
93
BB%11.2%
83
Bat speed75.8
99
K%32.7%
7
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.9 · CF
92
Arm Strength101.9 · CF
97
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs-0.9 · CF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.0 · CF
80
Bolts12.0 · CF
66
SB Success Rate76.7% · CF
38
Sprint Speed28.5 · CF
80
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.5%
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9%
32
Correct Decisions63.7%
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.386
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.296 to 0.372
RegressionNegative · -0.048
Opposing pitcherJustin Verlander
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-26
Palantir 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Fangorn 21711 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Valinor 16023 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.001 14d stable
Palantir 1947 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1443 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Palantir 10429 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.039 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 850 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 1088 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.053 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)